While both these sides have made very underwhelming starts to the season, PEC have looked particularly poor so far, and we feel that the hosts will be able to grind out their first win of the new campaign here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 60.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 19.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	PEC Zwolle
60.6% ( -0.03)	20.22% ( 0.02)	19.18% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.82% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.64% (

-0.05)

36.36% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.51% (

-0.06)

58.49% (

0.06)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.34% (

-0.03)

11.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.28% (

-0.05)

36.72% (

0.05)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.02)

32.29% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.02)

68.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

NEC 60.6%

PEC Zwolle 19.18%

Draw 20.22%

NEC	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 3.5% Total : 60.6%	1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.22%	1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 19.18%