SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 67.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Heracles |
67.21% ( 0.17) | 18.65% ( -0.07) | 14.14% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.39% ( 0.09) | 38.61% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.09% ( 0.1) | 60.91% ( -0.09) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.41% ( 0.07) | 10.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.63% ( 0.15) | 34.37% ( -0.15) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.08) | 39.63% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.69% ( -0.07) | 76.31% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.48% Total : 67.2% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.65% | 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 14.14% |
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