SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
37.6% ( -0.64) | 25.77% ( -0.04) | 36.62% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 0.22) | 49.16% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% ( 0.2) | 71.23% ( -0.2) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( -0.25) | 25.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( -0.34) | 60.41% ( 0.34) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( 0.5) | 26.1% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( 0.66) | 61.15% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.6% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.62% |
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