SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
36.7% ( 0.45) | 25.27% ( 0.23) | 38.03% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% ( -1.02) | 46.9% ( 1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.84% ( -0.95) | 69.15% ( 0.95) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( -0.22) | 25% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( -0.3) | 59.66% ( 0.3) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( -0.81) | 24.28% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% ( -1.17) | 58.65% ( 1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.03% |
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