Despite being knocked out of the Europa Conference League, Vitesse earned a draw with Roma on Thursday and were only undone by a late equaliser, showing that they have the quality to beat top opposition, it just was not to be on that day. Vitesse are in better form than Waalwijk and in a superior position in the table, which suggests that the hosts are favourites for three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
64%	20.36%	15.64%

Both teams to score 51.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.64%

43.35%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.25%

65.75%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.15%

12.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.78%

39.21%

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.43%

40.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.83%

77.17%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 63.99%

RKC Waalwijk 15.64%

Draw 20.36%

Vitesse	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 10.97% 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 6.77% 4-0 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.2% Total : 63.99%	1-1 @ 9.65% 0-0 @ 5.21% 2-2 @ 4.47% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.36%	0-1 @ 4.7% 1-2 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.34% 1-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.81% Total : 15.64%