Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tuzla City win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tuzla City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.