Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Tuzla City had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Tuzla City win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
