SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 37.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
37.29% ( -0.04) | 23.78% ( -0.01) | 38.92% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.29% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.2% ( 0.07) | 39.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.84% ( 0.07) | 62.16% ( -0.07) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% ( 0.01) | 21.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% ( 0.02) | 54.5% ( -0.01) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( 0.05) | 20.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( 0.09) | 53.27% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.29% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.92% |
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