Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 60.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Patro Eisden had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Patro Eisden win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
