SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
31.84% ( -0.01) | 23.55% ( -0.1) | 44.61% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 61.69% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% ( 0.49) | 39.99% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( 0.5) | 62.36% ( -0.5) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.46% ( 0.23) | 24.54% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.99% ( 0.32) | 59.01% ( -0.31) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( 0.25) | 18.25% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.7% ( 0.41) | 49.3% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.84% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.65% Total : 44.61% |
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