Larnaca have proven they can compete, but it is hard to see them being able to shut out a side in Rennes with so many weapons in the attacking third, scoring in 17 consecutive matches in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.85%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
-0.03) 
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