After the dramatic first leg, we can certainly expect another high-scoring encounter, and we predict a narrow win for the visitors.
While they were not able to make the most of home advantage last week, Schmidt's men do boast the quality required to get over the line in Denmark.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
