Heracles have certainly looked vastly improved recently, but we see Sunday being a step too far. The hosts have bounced back impressively from their recent setback, and, with their sights set on top spot, they should have enough to earn another three-point haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.44%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 2.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 4-0 (11.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Heracles
89.44%	7.8%	2.76%

Both teams to score 36.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.81%

28.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.99%

49.01%

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.13%

3.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.54%

16.46%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.52%

62.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.13%

91.87%

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 89.43%

Heracles 2.76%

Draw 7.8%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Heracles
3-0 @ 13.88% 2-0 @ 12.8% 4-0 @ 11.29% 1-0 @ 7.87% 5-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 6.53% 2-1 @ 6.02% 4-1 @ 5.31% 6-0 @ 3.99% 5-1 @ 3.46% 6-1 @ 1.88% 7-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 4.43% Total : 89.43%	1-1 @ 3.7% 0-0 @ 2.42% 2-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.27% Total : 7.8%	0-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.62% Total : 2.76%