SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
32.82% ( 0.1) | 25.31% ( 0.02) | 41.87% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( -0.04) | 47.73% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.04) | 69.92% ( 0.04) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( 0.04) | 27.69% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 0.05) | 63.24% ( -0.05) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.07) | 22.69% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( -0.11) | 56.35% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | FK Zalgiris |
| 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.87% |
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