Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a FC Pyunik win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
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