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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%).
| Result | ||
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
47.04% ( -0.34) | 25.82% ( -0) | 27.13% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( 0.23) | 52.48% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( 0.2) | 74.15% ( -0.19) |
| FK Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.06) | 22.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( -0.09) | 55.76% ( 0.09) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( 0.4) | 34.16% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( 0.43) | 70.85% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.04% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.13% |
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