SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Turku | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
49.39% ( -0.06) | 24.14% ( 0.03) | 26.47% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( -0.12) | 45.9% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( -0.11) | 68.21% ( 0.11) |
| Inter Turku Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( -0.07) | 18.65% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.02% ( -0.12) | 49.98% ( 0.11) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.04) | 31.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.46% ( -0.05) | 67.53% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Turku | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.47% |
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