SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 19 | -10 | 21 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 19 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 19 | -28 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 20 | 15 | 34 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 20 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 20 | 5 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 27.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Finn Harps | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
27.65% ( 0.46) | 28.84% ( -0.06) | 43.52% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 43.15% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.1% ( 0.37) | 62.9% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.61% ( 0.27) | 82.39% ( -0.27) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.57% ( 0.6) | 39.43% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.88% ( 0.55) | 76.12% ( -0.55) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( -0.04) | 28.77% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.39% ( -0.05) | 64.61% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finn Harps | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.45% Total : 27.64% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 14.13% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.14)1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 43.52% |
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