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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
May 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
SP

Dundalk
1 - 0
St Patrick's

Kelly (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: Dundalk vs. Shamrock
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 St Patrick's
Friday, May 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Next Game: St Patrick's vs. UCD
Friday, June 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 2-1 St Patrick's Athletic

Given their competitive records this season, this has the potential to be a hard-fought contest, one which could prove pivotal in the race for European qualification. However, we have to back the home side to come through this contest with three points, extending their winning run to four games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dundalk.

Result
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
51.75% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.4%22.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 48.39% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)54.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (0.0019999999999989 0)75.53% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.07% (0.0020000000000095 0)20.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)53.65% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)38.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 51.75%
    St Patrick's Athletic 22.85%
    Draw 25.4%
DundalkDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12.7%
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.18%
3-1 @ 4.9%
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 3.64%
1-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.4%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 22.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Finn Harps 0-1 Dundalk
Monday, May 23 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-2 Dundalk
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Bohemians
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 2-2 Dundalk
Friday, May 6 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 4-1 Drogheda
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-1 Shelbourne
Friday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-0 Bohemians
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-2 Shelbourne
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 1-1 St Patrick's
Saturday, May 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 0-0 St Patrick's
Monday, May 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-4 St Patrick's
Friday, May 6 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-4 Derry
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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