SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
36.44% ( -0.03) | 23.28% ( -0.01) | 40.28% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 64.14% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.64% ( 0.04) | 37.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.42% ( 0.05) | 59.58% ( -0.04) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( 0) | 20.81% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% ( 0) | 53.47% ( 0) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.99% ( 0.04) | 19.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.43% ( 0.06) | 50.57% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.44% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.57% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.28% |
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