SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Fiorentina |
42.07% ( -0.48) | 27.49% ( -0.01) | 30.44% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( 0.2) | 57.26% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.9% ( 0.16) | 78.1% ( -0.15) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -0.16) | 26.86% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.83% ( -0.21) | 62.17% ( 0.22) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.86% ( 0.47) | 34.14% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.17% ( 0.51) | 70.83% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 42.07% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
