Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.66%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.