Despite an underwhelming recent record in this fixture, Lille have not lost back-to-back home games against Lyon since the mid-2000s, and will be the favourites given their form of late.
Lyon have stuttered again after appearing to turn a corner, and this will be a very difficult fixture in which to return to winning ways.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
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