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Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
 
M

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 1
Midtjylland

Coates (90+4')
Coates (88'), Tanlongo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ashour (77')
Martinez (63'), Isaksen (83'), Gigovic (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Porto
Sunday, February 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Randers 0-0 Midtjylland
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 FC Midtjylland

While Midtjylland will be looking to maintain their recent run, they go up against a Sporting Lisbon side who have won seven of their last nine home matches. Amorim's side boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to come away with a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 14.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawFC Midtjylland
66.11% (0.02600000000001 0.03) 19.31% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 14.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.78% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.26% (0.029000000000003 0.03)40.74% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.87% (0.030000000000001 0.03)63.13% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.51% (0.013000000000005 0.01)11.48% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (0.033000000000001 0.03)36.34% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)40.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.99% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 66.1%
    FC Midtjylland 14.58%
    Draw 19.31%
Sporting LisbonDrawFC Midtjylland
2-0 @ 10.85%
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 7.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.24% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 66.1%
1-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.64% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.31%
0-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 14.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Porto
Sunday, February 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, February 6 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 1 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Porto
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Vizela
Friday, January 20 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Randers 0-0 Midtjylland
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 0-0 Nordsjaelland
Monday, November 7 at 6pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Midtjylland 2-0 Sturm Graz
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-2 Odense
Monday, October 31 at 6.15pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Midtjylland
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Midtjylland
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Danish Superliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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