Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
66.11% ( 0.03) | 19.31% ( -0.01) | 14.58% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.78% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% ( 0.03) | 40.74% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.87% ( 0.03) | 63.13% ( -0.03) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.51% ( 0.01) | 11.48% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.66% ( 0.03) | 36.34% ( -0.04) |
FC Midtjylland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.62% ( -0) | 40.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.01% ( -0) | 76.99% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | FC Midtjylland |
2-0 @ 10.85% 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 66.1% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.31% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.58% |
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