SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 14.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
63.94% ( 0.1) | 21.3% ( -0.29) | 14.76% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.73% ( 1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( 1.54) | 49.04% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% ( 1.38) | 71.12% ( -1.37) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.33% ( 0.54) | 14.66% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.18% ( 1.02) | 42.81% ( -1.02) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.76% ( 1.22) | 45.23% ( -1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.88% ( 0.95) | 81.12% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Genoa |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.29% Total : 63.93% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.3% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.76% |
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