SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 7 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Iceland | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 7 | -20 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 7 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 7 | -9 | 11 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 7 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Iceland | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 7 | -20 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Slovakia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Slovakia |
20.82% ( -0.06) | 22.38% ( 0.07) | 56.79% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.03% ( -0.36) | 43.97% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.64% ( -0.35) | 66.35% ( 0.35) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.94% ( -0.26) | 35.06% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.19% ( -0.28) | 71.81% ( 0.28) |
| Slovakia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( -0.12) | 15.27% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( -0.23) | 43.97% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luxembourg | Draw | Slovakia |
| 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.78% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.79% |
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