Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Hungary | 4 | 6 | 10 |
2 | Serbia | 5 | 5 | 10 |
3 | Montenegro | 5 | 0 | 8 |
4 | Bulgaria | 5 | -5 | 2 |
5 | Lithuania | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bulgaria | Draw | Lithuania |
56.35% ( -2.14) | 24.14% ( 0.5) | 19.51% ( 1.64) |
Both teams to score 47.55% ( 1.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.1% ( 0.25) | 52.9% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.49% ( 0.21) | 74.51% ( -0.21) |
Bulgaria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( -0.7) | 18.63% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.06% ( -1.19) | 49.94% ( 1.19) |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.43% ( 2.05) | 41.57% ( -2.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.94% ( 1.75) | 78.06% ( -1.75) |
Score Analysis |
Bulgaria | Draw | Lithuania |
1-0 @ 13.01% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.62) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.51% |
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