Bulgaria
1 - 0
Lithuania

Chochev (82')
Iliev (85')
Borislavov Mihaylov (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jankauskas (80'), Cernych (89'), Simkus (90+1')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Bulgaria and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bulgaria would win this match.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Lithuania
48.32%	20.9%	30.78%

Both teams to score 71.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.66%

27.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.08%

47.92%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86%

12.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.27%

37.73%

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05%

18.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.53%

50.47%

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 48.32%

Lithuania 30.78%

Draw 20.9%

Bulgaria	Draw	Lithuania
2-1 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 5.98% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-2 @ 4.97% 1-0 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-3 @ 1.45% 5-1 @ 1.33% 5-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.74% Total : 48.32%	1-1 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 7.08% 3-3 @ 2.76% 0-0 @ 2.3% Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.9%	1-2 @ 6.71% 2-3 @ 3.92% 0-1 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 3.72% 0-2 @ 3.18% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-4 @ 1.55% 3-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.33% Total : 30.78%