SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Greece | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Kosovo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 77.17%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 7.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.49%) and 0-3 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Northern Ireland in this match.
| Result | ||
| San Marino | Draw | Northern Ireland |
7.09% ( 0.05) | 15.74% ( 0.09) | 77.17% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 37.47% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( -0.21) | 46.16% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( -0.2) | 68.46% ( 0.2) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.23% | 89.77% ( 0) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( -0.09) | 10.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.77% ( -0.21) | 33.22% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Marino | Draw | Northern Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 7.09% | 1-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.74% | 0-2 @ 15.47% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 13.49% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 11.83% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 6.79% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 77.15% |
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