SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Hungary | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Germany | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | England | 6 | -6 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Italy had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | England |
33.04% ( 2.63) | 28.36% ( 0.05) | 38.6% ( -2.68) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.2% ( 0.39) | 59.79% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.92% ( 0.3) | 80.08% ( -0.3) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( 2.11) | 33.61% ( -2.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( 2.24) | 70.26% ( -2.25) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( -1.36) | 30.04% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.83% ( -1.66) | 66.17% ( 1.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy | Draw | England |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.35% | 0-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.65) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.69)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
