Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 16.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Wales win it was 1-0 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.
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