It would take a bold punter to back against France on Friday considering the significant gulf in quality between the two nations.
Just a draw for Gibraltar would go down as one of the greatest results in their history, but we expect Les Bleus to come away with a comprehensive victory and extend their lead at the top of Group B.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.88%) and 0-4 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.69%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
