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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Do Algarve
FN
Gibraltar
0 - 3
France
 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Giroud (3'), Mbappe (45+3' pen.), Mouelhi (78' og.)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 France
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Gibraltar 0-5 France

It would take a bold punter to back against France on Friday considering the significant gulf in quality between the two nations. Just a draw for Gibraltar would go down as one of the greatest results in their history, but we expect Les Bleus to come away with a comprehensive victory and extend their lead at the top of Group B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 89.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.88%) and 0-4 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.69%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
GibraltarDrawFrance
2.32% (0.0070000000000001 0.01) 8.35% (0.019 0.02) 89.33% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Both teams to score 27.62% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.53% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)35.46% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.49% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)57.51% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
29.1% (0.023 0.02)70.9% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)95.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)5.08% (0.0111 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.78% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)20.21% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gibraltar 2.32%
    France 89.32%
    Draw 8.35%
GibraltarDrawFrance
1-0 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 2.32%
1-1 @ 3.69% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 8.35%
0-2 @ 15.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 15.88%
0-4 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 7.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-6 @ 3.5% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-7 @ 1.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-6 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 89.32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Netherlands 3-0 Gibraltar
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-3 Greece
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra
Saturday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 2-0 Liechtenstein
Wednesday, November 16 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-2 Georgia
Monday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 5-1 Gibraltar
Friday, September 23 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 France
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 3-3 France (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 2-0 Morocco
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: England 1-2 France
Saturday, December 10 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 3-1 Poland
Sunday, December 4 at 3pm in World Cup

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