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Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
FN
Rep. Ireland
0 - 1
France

Doherty (65'), Molumby (77'), Idah (88'), Egan (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavard (50')
Pavard (22')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-2 Latvia
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for France had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawFrance
38.34% (-0.13 -0.13) 28.15% (0.438 0.44) 33.51% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 47.16% (-1.341 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (-1.651 -1.65)58.95% (1.649 1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (-1.295 -1.3)79.43% (1.294 1.29)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.88199999999999 -0.88)29.78% (0.883 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-1.084 -1.08)65.85% (1.084 1.08)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (-1.054 -1.05)32.85% (1.053 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.59% (-1.19 -1.19)69.41% (1.19 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 38.33%
    France 33.51%
    Draw 28.14%
Republic of IrelandDrawFrance
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.44 0.44)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.33%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 9.78% (0.594 0.59)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.51%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-2 Latvia
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 0-1 Rep. Ireland
Sunday, November 20 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-2 Norway
Thursday, November 17 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-2 Armenia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-1 Rep. Ireland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Ukraine 1-1 Rep. Ireland
Tuesday, June 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: France 4-0 Netherlands
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Argentina 3-3 France (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, December 18 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 2-0 Morocco
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: England 1-2 France
Saturday, December 10 at 7pm in World Cup
Last Game: France 3-1 Poland
Sunday, December 4 at 3pm in World Cup
Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 France
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup

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