There is not much down for the 198th-ranked side in the world in this match or in this section, as Liechtenstein will likely finish without a point.
Iceland need to respond after a woeful showing in Zenica, and three points will be the absolute minimum requirement.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 96.12%. A draw had a probability of 3.6% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 0.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-3 with a probability of 20.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (17.47%) and 0-2 (17.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.83%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (0.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.15) 
