SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Wales had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Latvia |
34.58% ( 0.02) | 26.24% ( 0.09) | 39.18% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.63% ( -0.38) | 51.37% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( -0.33) | 73.19% ( 0.34) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% ( -0.17) | 28.36% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -0.22) | 64.1% ( 0.22) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -0.23) | 25.7% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( -0.32) | 60.62% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Latvia |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.58% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
