Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 24.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Republic of Ireland would win this match.

Result
Republic of Ireland	Draw	Latvia
50.98% ( -0.28)	24.6% ( 0.16)	24.41% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 52.47% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.43% (

-0.58)

49.57% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

-0.52)

71.59% (

0.51)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

-0.33)

19.44% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

-0.55)

51.28% (

0.54)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.14% (

-0.22)

34.86% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.4% (

-0.23)

71.59% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Republic of Ireland 50.97%

Latvia 24.41%

Draw 24.59%

Republic of Ireland	Draw	Latvia
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.97%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.41%