SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 10.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.41%) and 3-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Armenia |
69.61% ( 0.03) | 20.32% ( -0.01) | 10.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 36.52% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.69% ( -0.02) | 55.31% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( -0.01) | 76.52% ( 0.01) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( 0) | 14.91% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.71% ( 0.01) | 43.28% ( -0.01) |
| Armenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.92% ( -0.05) | 57.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.91% ( -0.03) | 89.08% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wales | Draw | Armenia |
| 1-0 @ 16.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 15.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.54% Total : 69.6% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.32% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 1.41% Total : 10.07% |
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