SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Republic of Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Malta had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Malta win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Republic of Ireland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
20.26% ( -17.22) | 22.72% ( -3.35) | 57.02% ( 20.57) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% ( 4.28) | 46.22% ( -4.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( 3.91) | 68.51% ( -3.91) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( -10.69) | 36.92% ( 10.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( -12.37) | 73.71% ( 12.37) |
| Republic of Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( 10.85) | 15.97% ( -10.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.72% ( 16.85) | 45.28% ( -16.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
| 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -3.54) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( -2.92)2-0 @ 2.93% ( -3.37)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -1.91)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.8)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -1.84)Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -1.62) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -1.14)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.53)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 1.55) 0-2 @ 9.92% ( 3.83)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 1.73)0-3 @ 6.07% ( 3.39)1-3 @ 6.04% ( 2.47)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.62)0-4 @ 2.78% ( 1.9)1-4 @ 2.77% ( 1.6)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.59)0-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.79)1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.71)Other @ 2.31% Total : 57.01% |
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