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FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 29, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
LL

Brighton
2 - 1
Liverpool

Dunk (39'), Mitoma (90+2')
Dunk (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Elliott (30')
Bajcetic (17'), Konate (62'), Fabinho (86'), Robertson (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Chelsea
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
34.18% (0.741 0.74) 24.01% (0.421 0.42) 41.81% (-1.165 -1.17)
Both teams to score 60.91% (-1.311 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.62% (-1.812 -1.81)41.37% (1.809 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.23% (-1.863 -1.86)63.77% (1.86 1.86)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.437 -0.44)23.84% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98% (-0.624 -0.62)58.02% (0.622 0.62)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-1.259 -1.26)20.01% (1.256 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-2.064 -2.06)52.21% (2.062 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 34.18%
    Liverpool 41.81%
    Draw 24%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 7.89% (0.143 0.14)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.465 0.47)
2-0 @ 4.9% (0.275 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 11% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.381 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.327 0.33)
0-2 @ 6.17% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.75% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.31% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.103 -0.1)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 41.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leicester 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 3-0 Liverpool
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-5 Brighton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Brighton
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, December 31 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Brighton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Chelsea
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Liverpool
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton 3-0 Liverpool
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Wolves
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Leicester
Friday, December 30 at 8pm in Premier League


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