SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
29.93% ( 0.94) | 24.67% ( -0.3) | 45.4% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( 1.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 1.81) | 46.04% ( -1.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% ( 1.7) | 68.34% ( -1.7) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( 1.58) | 28.74% ( -1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( 1.93) | 64.58% ( -1.93) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( 0.47) | 20.36% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( 0.74) | 52.76% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.4% |
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