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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
LL

Brighton
3 - 0
Liverpool

March (47', 53'), Welbeck (81')
Dunk (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Matip (18'), Henderson (30'), Alexander-Arnold (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
24.79% (0.277 0.28) 21.67% (0.157 0.16) 53.54% (-0.439 -0.44)
Both teams to score 62.89% (-0.251 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-0.471 -0.47)36.01% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-0.519 -0.52)58.11% (0.511 0.51)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)27.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)62.63% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)13.6% (0.291 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (-0.592 -0.59)40.73% (0.58499999999999 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 24.79%
    Liverpool 53.54%
    Draw 21.67%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.063 0.06)
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.13% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.36% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.085 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.38% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.18% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.27% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 53.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-5 Brighton
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Brighton
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-4 Arsenal
Saturday, December 31 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Brighton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Brighton (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Wolves
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Liverpool
Monday, January 2 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Leicester
Friday, December 30 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Liverpool
Monday, December 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 3-2 Liverpool
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-1 AC Milan
Friday, December 16 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 1


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