Middlesbrough are flying in the Championship under Carrick and should fancy their chances against the Premier League visitors on Saturday, especially considering their run in the FA Cup last season.
Brighton will place a lot of importance on reaching the latter stages of this competition as they hunt their first major trophy, and they should have enough to earn a place in the fourth round this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
