SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.36% ( 0.24) | 25.2% ( 0.03) | 42.44% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( -0.07) | 47.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( -0.06) | 69.59% ( 0.06) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.12) | 27.8% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.61% ( 0.16) | 63.39% ( -0.16) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.16) | 22.27% ( 0.16) |
