SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.36% ( 0.24) | 25.2% ( 0.03) | 42.44% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( -0.07) | 47.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( -0.06) | 69.59% ( 0.06) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.12) | 27.8% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( 0.16) | 63.39% ( -0.16) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.16) | 22.27% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( -0.24) | 55.71% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 32.36% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.44% |
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