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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
BA
Northampton
2 - 0
Burton Albion
Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Burton Albion

This looks like a very even contest that both sides will feel they can win but would rather not lose. We are expecting a tight match here and feel that these sides will not be separated after 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
42.1% (0.0019999999999953 0) 27.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 30.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.1% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.8% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.09%
    Burton Albion 30.43%
    Draw 27.46%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Northampton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One

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