Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Port Vale |
58.73% ( -0.21) | 22.2% ( 0.08) | 19.07% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.72% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.38% ( -0.18) | 45.62% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.06% ( -0.17) | 67.94% ( 0.17) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.8% ( -0.13) | 15.2% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.17% ( -0.24) | 43.83% ( 0.24) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.17% ( 0.03) | 37.83% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.39% ( 0.03) | 74.61% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.07% |
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