SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chorley |
39.55% ( 1.65) | 26% ( -0.26) | 34.44% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( 0.92) | 50.38% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( 0.81) | 72.32% ( -0.82) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 1.32) | 25.04% ( -1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.28% ( 1.8) | 59.72% ( -1.8) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( -0.4) | 27.96% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% ( -0.51) | 63.59% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.55% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.44% |
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