Ipswich Town have won seven of their last 10 home games in all competitions, and having already beaten Portsmouth this season, we think that they will claim a narrow victory on Tuesday to progress to the third round of the EFL Trophy.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
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