SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leeds United |
47.71% ( 0.13) | 24.77% ( -0) | 27.52% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( -0.08) | 47.89% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( -0.08) | 70.07% ( 0.07) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% ( 0.02) | 20.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.61% ( 0.03) | 52.39% ( -0.04) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.14) | 31.43% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.19% ( -0.16) | 67.81% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.52% |
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