SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 84.96%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 4.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
84.96% ( -0.64) | 10.64% ( 0.41) | 4.39% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 39.11% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.39% ( -0.97) | 33.6% ( 0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.58% ( -1.11) | 55.41% ( 1.11) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.41% ( -0.3) | 5.59% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.29% ( -0.87) | 21.71% ( 0.87) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.42% ( 0.21) | 58.57% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.09% ( 0.11) | 89.9% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.23)1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 7% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.35% Total : 84.95% | 1-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.37% Total : 10.64% | 0-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.29% Total : 4.39% |
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