FA Cup | Final

May 15, 2021 at 5.15pm UK

Wembley Stadium

Chelsea
0 - 1
Leicester

Werner (40')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tielemans (63')
Fofana (36')

Thomas Tuchel confirms Kante "felt his hamstring" in Leicester win

Jamie Vardy: 'We want more trophies after FA Cup success'

Thomas Tuchel: 'We must be calmer in front of goal'

Thomas Tuchel slams VAR calls as Chelsea lose FA Cup final

Brendan Rodgers: 'Today is a historic day for Leicester'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Leicester City
39.08%	26.35%	34.56%

Both teams to score 52.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.16%

51.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.4%

73.6%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02%

60.98%

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4%

28.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6%

64.4%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 39.08%

Leicester City 34.56%

Draw 26.35%

Chelsea	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.36% Total : 39.08%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.56%